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Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.Notice: The National Health and Wellness Commission held a press conference on December 10th to introduce the situation of "learning and popularizing Sanming's medical reform experience".Shibor reported 1.4700% overnight, down 4.6 basis points; In 7 days, shibor reported 1.7840%, up 4.8 basis points; In three months, shibor reported 1.7480%, down 0.5 basis point.

Morgan Stanley published a research report that China's monetary policy changed from "prudent" to "moderately loose" to support market sentiment in 2025, and the real policy may focus on interest rate reform in 2025. Morgan Stanley said that the increased attention to reactivating the capital market should also help support market sentiment and keep the trading volume high in the short term. The bank also suggested that optimizing existing loans, more rational bank loan growth and interest rate reform may be the real focus in 2025. The bank believes that risk-based loan pricing may continue to recover, which will help to buffer the bank's net interest margin, even if some additional loan market quotations are lowered.GD Helicopter Finance signed a financing agreement of over 77 million euros. According to G&D Airlines, GD Helicopter Finance signed a financing agreement of over 77 million euros with Bank of China, London Branch and German Helaba Bank to support GDHF in purchasing several new Airbus H160 helicopters.In the first 11 months, China's foreign trade in goods reached a steady growth of 39.79 trillion yuan. The General Administration of Customs announced on the 10th that in the first 11 months of this year, the total import and export value of China's goods trade reached 39.79 trillion yuan, up 4.9% year-on-year, achieving steady growth. Among them, the export was 23.04 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%; Imports reached 16.75 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.4%.

South Korea's ruling party is talking about letting Yin Xiyue resign in February or March next year, or will soon disclose the road map. According to several media reports on December 10, the ruling National Power Party of South Korea will announce the road map of South Korea's President Yin Xiyue's "orderly withdrawal", which may announce the time and manner of Yin Xiyue's early resignation, including the different possibilities of "resignation in February and general election in April" or "resignation in March and general election in May". Lee Yang-soo, a member of the ruling party in charge of political stability, said that compared with impeachment, the timetables of the above two schemes have advanced faster, and Yin Xiyue's resignation and holding presidential elections will reduce uncertainty and minimize public opinion differences; "Yin Xiyue should step down in a safer and more dignified way than impeachment", and the party needs to make a decision on Yin Xiyue's "orderly withdrawal" this week. Earlier, Li Zaiming, leader of South Korea's largest opposition party, stressed that Yin Xiyue must be successfully impeached on December 14th. (Interface News)Aerospace Electromechanical: It is planned to reduce the capital of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Hong Kong Holdings, by 52.5 million US dollars. Aerospace Electromechanical announced on the evening of December 10 that in order to improve the efficiency of capital use and reduce the risk of overseas operation, while ensuring the normal operation of Shanghai Aerospace Holdings (Hong Kong Holdings) Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Hong Kong Holdings"), the company plans to reduce the capital of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Shanghai Aerospace Holdings (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. by 52.5 million US dollars. After the company recovers the capital reduction, it will all be used to repay the M&A loan.Notice: The National Health and Wellness Commission held a press conference on December 10th to introduce the situation of "learning and popularizing Sanming's medical reform experience".